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After years of funding deficits and cash calls on sponsoring employers, the higher interest rate environment in the last couple of years has led to improvements in funding defined benefit (DB) pension plan funding ratios, and surpluses are no longer a rarity. One consequence of this has been an explosion of activity in pension risk transfer markets globally, as companies take advantage of the opportunity to reduce and remove DB pension risk.

While pension risk transfer (PRT) transactions are often opportunistic in nature based on jurisdiction-specific factors, there is a real opportunity for multinational companies to develop a coherent pension risk transfer strategy to address their global DB pension risk exposure.

The most common type of PRT transaction is a “buy-out”, With a buy-out, plan assets are used to purchase a group annuity contract with an insurance company for some (“partial buy-out”) or all plan participants (“full buy-out”), removing them from the plan and transferring the pension liabilities associated risks to the insurer. A variation is the “buy-in” where plan assets are used to purchase a contract where the insurer reimburses the pension plan for payments to the covered participants. In this case the insurance contract is an asset of the plan, the plan continues to administer the participants’ benefits, but the risks associated with the covered benefits are now insured.

If the reduction and removal of DB pension risk is the objective of the corporate, establishing a robust global pension risk transfer strategy and communicating this effectively to the financial markets can provide shareholders and other stakeholders with reassurance that this (often significant) risk is being appropriately managed, strengthen the case for change, and greatly improve the chances of successful, timely execution. Whether this results in a consistent global strategy or a more nuanced picture varying locally, there are clear advantages in having a coherent global plan.

As part of setting their global strategy we help clients:

  • Identify the DB plans where risks can be transferred and options available
  • The steps needed to achieve successful PRT transaction – including factors that will impact the timeline
  • Set priorities where there are multiple DB plans
  • Consider alternative de-risking actions where a PRT transaction is not practical
  • Track developments in PRT markets, including new solutions becoming available

Assessing pension risk transfer feasibility

Risk transfer markets vary in scale and coverage depending on the jurisdiction. Nevertheless there are some key commonalities to consider when assessing the feasibility of DB pension risk transfer transactions worldwide.

  • Understand the key features of the pension risk transfer market in the country of operation. For example:
    • Is pension risk transfer possible? If so, which risks can and cannot be transferred?
    • Who are the key organisations accepting pension risk transfer transactions? Do these organisations have a particular target market or capacity constraints?
    • What is the typical pricing for pension risk transfer transactions?
  • Understand the position of the company’s DB pension plan(s). For example:
    • Would the plan’s funding position support a transaction? If not, is the shortfall affordable or achievable in a reasonable timeframe? If the plan is in surplus, who owns this surplus?
    • Are there any features of the pension plan that would prohibit a transaction or make it more challenging? Is plan documentation and participant data complete and accurate? Are there any concerns in terms of data privacy?
    • Is pension risk transfer the right strategy for the DB pension plan based on the regulatory framework and other risk reduction options?
  • Understand the steps required to achieve a transaction. For example:
    • What is the typical process for securing a transaction? Are there any liquidity constraints or data quality issues that need to be addressed?
    • What are the costs and expected timescales to execution?
    • Who are the key stakeholders and what governance framework is required?

Answering these questions helps identify which of your pension plans are good candidates for a PRT transaction and the actions needed to prepare them.

Global risk transfer markets

A key part of determining whether pension risk transfer is right for your plan(s) is understanding the market in the relevant country, including the latest trends and developments. Some markets, like the UK and the US, have been writing PRT business for some time and see very large volumes of business, others are smaller in size or are at an earlier stage of development. Our risk transfer experts in the UK, the US, Canada and Germany share a snapshot of each of these markets with their insights below.


United Kingdom

 Rosie Fantom

Snapshot

  • Record number of transactions in 2023 (both number and value).
  • Pension risk transfer market participants in flux, with some consolidation, with more companies expected to enter to meet anticipated demand.
  • Active market for longevity-only risk transfer.
  • “Superfunds” offer non-insurance risk transfer route, potentially making risk transfer feasible for underfunded plans.

Number and value of transactions

Insurer 2023 market share (by transaction value)


Canada

 Philippe Rickli

Snapshot

  • Robust Transaction Volume: In 2023, the group annuity market sustained high transaction volumes. Projected sales for 2024 are currently expected to increase by 25%.
  • Trends in Contract Conversions: 2023 and 2024 have seen an increase in the number of contract conversions from buy-in to buy-out, following funding level improvements.
  • Competitive Returns: Annuity purchases have consistently offered strong implicit returns throughout 2023 and 2024, appealing to pension funds seeking reliable investments.
  • Innovative Indexed Pricing: Despite the Government of Canada ceasing the issuance of real return bonds, insurers have maintained competitive pricing for indexed annuities.
  • Increased Policyholder Security: Announcement in 2023 of enhanced protection levels offered in the case of insurer bankruptcy has contributed to a more secure environment for annuity transactions.

Value of transactions

Insurer 2023 market share (by transaction value)


USA

 Jake Pringle

Snapshot

  • Capacity constraints manifested in 2023 with record number of opportunities. Additional companies exploring and expected to enter to meet anticipated demand. Currently about 21 insurers operating in the US pension risk transfer (PRT) space.
  • Pricing for PRT similar to accounting liability carried on the plan sponsor’s financials. Funding impacts and measurements with the IRS should be considered.
  • Typical PRT project includes plan sponsor, annuity placement expert, financial analyst, fiduciary, attorney. After decision, plan sponsor and actuary work directly with selected insurer.
  • Typical project takes 8-12 weeks to complete. Size and complexities influence project timing, as insurers need time to understand plan provisions, administration of benefits, and their capabilities to onboard and administer.

Number and value of transactions


Germany

Thomas Huth

Snapshot

  • The market for non-insurance DB pension risk transfer in Germany was established following a supreme court ruling in 2008.
  • Previously, there was only an insurance solution for companies that had ceased operations and were in the process of liquidation.
  • The non-insurance pension buyout is based on the German transformation act (UmwG) and involves the transfer of pension obligations of pensioners and deferred leavers to a pensioner company that is subsequently sold to a pension buyout provider.
  • It is highly flexible and largely unregulated. The German Federal Labour Court has introduced a number of rules in its case law regarding the capitalization of a pensioner firm, i.e. the applicable interest rate, mortality tables and inflation.
  • After a slow start, we have recently seen an increase in interest and transactions.
  • We estimate the transaction volume at around EUR 700 million, with many small (< EUR 10 million) and few mid-sized (> EUR 100 million) transactions.
  • The market is driven by liquidations, M&A and the desire to de-risk.
  • Market participants are predominantly small companies, but there have been some recent entries from established companies.

For more information on the latest developments, to review your global pension risk transfer strategy or for advice on de-risking your pension plans, please contact Isabel Coles or your local MBWL consultant. 

For a deeper dive, join MBWL experts for a discussion of this topic during our webinar on Wednesday, October 16 from 2:00 p.m. – 3:00 p.m. BST / 9:00 a.m. – 10:00 a.m. ET. To register, click here.

Contacts

Isabel Coles

Head of International Consulting, MBWL International

VIEW PROFILE

Rosie Fantom

Partner, Head of Bulk Annuities and Risk Transfer, Barnett Waddingham

Philippe Rickli

Principal, Pension and Savings, Normandin Beaudry

Jake Pringle

Principal and Consulting Actuary, Milliman

Contacts

Isabel Coles

Head of International Consulting, MBWL International

VIEW PROFILE

Rosie Fantom

Partner, Head of Bulk Annuities and Risk Transfer, Barnett Waddingham

Philippe Rickli

Principal, Pension and Savings, Normandin Beaudry

Jake Pringle

Principal and Consulting Actuary, Milliman